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Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Sunday, November 1, 2026 — NFL Prediction & Pick

Our model leans Detroit Lions

moderate lean

The model leans Detroit Lions primarily because of advantages in Market line and Form. The projected margin is DET by 3.5 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Minnesota Vikings (5 edges vs 3 for Detroit Lions).

The model leans Detroit Lions even though the simple edge count favors Minnesota Vikings. One large margin contribution can outweigh several smaller stat edges, because the model does not weigh every input equally.

Matchup Breakdown

Market line — leans Detroit Lions

Market spread: DET -3.5. Market total: 46.0. Market features move the margin about 1.2 points toward DET.

Market spread: DET -3.5.
Market total: 46.0.

Form — leans Detroit Lions

Form supports DET by about 0.5 points of margin. The clearest gaps are points scored per game.

Points scored per game: DET 28.6 vs MIN 19.7 — leans DET.
Points allowed per game: DET 25.6 vs MIN 13.3 — leans MIN.
Recent margin: DET +1.1 vs MIN +9.6 — leans MIN.
Offensive EPA: DET +0.00 vs MIN +0.00 — roughly even.
Defensive EPA: DET +0.00 vs MIN +0.00 — roughly even.
Offensive success rate: DET 0.0% vs MIN 0.0% — roughly even.
Defensive success rate: DET 0.0% vs MIN 0.0% — roughly even.
Offensive matchup: DET +0.00 vs MIN +0.00 — roughly even.
Opponent win rate faced: DET 0.498 vs MIN 0.504 — roughly even.
Head-to-head win rate: DET 0% — leans MIN.

Injuries — leans Minnesota Vikings

Injuries comparisons lean MIN.

Injuries: DET 4 vs MIN 1 — leans MIN.

Rest — leans Minnesota Vikings

Rest comparisons lean MIN.

Days of rest: DET 6 vs MIN 7 — leans MIN.

Context — leans Detroit Lions

Context comparisons lean DET.

Home field is included for DET.

Betting Lines

Detroit Lions -3.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 45.5 (Bovada)

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This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.