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Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets

Sunday, November 1, 2026 — NFL Prediction & Pick

Our model leans Las Vegas Raiders

slight lean

The model leans Las Vegas Raiders primarily because of advantages in Market line and Form. The projected margin is LV by 1.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Las Vegas Raiders (4 edges vs 3 for New York Jets).

The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.

Matchup Breakdown

Market line — leans Las Vegas Raiders

Market spread: LV +1.0. Market total: 45.5. Market features move the margin about 1.4 points toward LV.

Market spread: LV +1.0.
Market total: 45.5.

Form — leans Las Vegas Raiders

Form supports LV by about 1.2 points of margin. The clearest gaps are points scored per game and recent margin.

Points scored per game: NYJ 18.1 vs LV 21.7 — leans LV.
Points allowed per game: NYJ 25.5 vs LV 28.9 — leans NYJ.
Recent margin: NYJ -5.0 vs LV -1.5 — leans LV.
Offensive EPA: NYJ +0.00 vs LV +0.00 — roughly even.
Defensive EPA: NYJ +0.00 vs LV +0.00 — roughly even.
Offensive success rate: NYJ 0.0% vs LV 0.0% — roughly even.
Defensive success rate: NYJ 0.0% vs LV 0.0% — roughly even.
Offensive matchup: NYJ +0.00 vs LV +0.00 — roughly even.
Opponent win rate faced: NYJ 0.537 vs LV 0.537 — roughly even.
Head-to-head win rate: NYJ 50% — roughly even.

Injuries — leans Las Vegas Raiders

Injuries comparisons lean LV.

Injuries: NYJ 3 vs LV 0 — leans LV.

Rest — leans New York Jets

Rest comparisons lean NYJ.

Days of rest: NYJ 7 vs LV 6 — leans NYJ.

Context — leans New York Jets

Context comparisons lean NYJ.

Home field is included for NYJ.

Betting Lines

New York Jets +1.0 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 45.5 (Courtside)

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This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.