← All NFL picks for Sunday, November 1, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders
Sunday, November 1, 2026 — NFL Prediction & Pick
Our model leans
Washington Commandersmoderate lean
The model leans Washington Commanders primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is WSH by 3.2 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Washington Commanders (5 edges vs 3 for Philadelphia Eagles).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Matchup Breakdown
Market line — leans Washington Commanders
Market spread: WSH -4.5. Market total: 40.5. Market features move the margin about 1.4 points toward WSH.
- Market spread: WSH -4.5.
- Market total: 40.5.
Form — roughly even
Form comparisons are split between PHI and WSH.
- Points scored per game: WSH 21.1 vs PHI 18.7 — leans WSH.
- Points allowed per game: WSH 27.5 vs PHI 23.8 — leans PHI.
- Recent margin: WSH -5.0 vs PHI -6.5 — leans WSH.
- Offensive EPA: WSH +0.00 vs PHI +0.00 — roughly even.
- Defensive EPA: WSH +0.00 vs PHI +0.00 — roughly even.
- Offensive success rate: WSH 0.0% vs PHI 0.0% — roughly even.
- Defensive success rate: WSH 0.0% vs PHI 0.0% — roughly even.
- Offensive matchup: WSH +0.00 vs PHI +0.00 — roughly even.
- Opponent win rate faced: WSH 0.507 vs PHI 0.523 — roughly even.
- Head-to-head win rate: WSH 33% — leans PHI.
Injuries — leans Philadelphia Eagles
Injuries comparisons lean PHI.
- Injuries: WSH 4 vs PHI 2 — leans PHI.
Rest — leans Washington Commanders
Rest comparisons lean WSH.
- Days of rest: WSH 13 vs PHI 6 — leans WSH. WSH is coming off a bye.
Context — leans Washington Commanders
Context comparisons lean WSH.
- Home field is included for WSH.
Betting Lines
Washington Commanders -5.5 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 40.5 (Pinnacle)
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute
financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee
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