Sunday, October 18, 2026 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Green Bay Packers primarily because of advantages in Market blend. The projected margin is GB by 1.9 points. That lean is driven mainly by market blend. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form pulls the other way and favors DAL by about 1.0 points of margin. Points scored per game: GB 21.4, DAL 26.4.
Market blend is a large contribution and supports GB by about 0.6 points of margin. The published margin is blended 35% toward the market line (+3.0 points).
Green Bay Packers +1.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 53.5 (Matchbook)
Dallas Cowboys 13, Green Bay Packers 23 — Green Bay Packers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.