Sunday, November 16, 2025 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Pittsburgh Steelers primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is PIT by 4.1 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 2.3 points of margin. The market spread feature is -5.5.
Form pulls the other way and favors CIN by about 0.5 points of margin. Points scored per game: PIT 21.9, CIN 27.7.
Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 48.5 (ESPN BET)
Cincinnati Bengals 12, Pittsburgh Steelers 34 — Pittsburgh Steelers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.