Sunday, November 16, 2025 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Minnesota Vikings primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is MIN by 2.1 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form pulls the other way and favors CHI by about 0.6 points of margin. Points scored per game: MIN 21.6, CHI 25.0.
Market line is a large contribution and supports MIN by about 0.6 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.0.
Minnesota Vikings -2.5 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 48.0 (Pinnacle)
Chicago Bears 19, Minnesota Vikings 17 — Chicago Bears win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.