Sunday, November 17, 2024 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans New York Jets primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is NYJ by 3.5 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports NYJ by about 1.7 points of margin. The market spread feature is -4.5.
Form pulls the other way and favors IND by about 0.6 points of margin. Points scored per game: NYJ 16.6, IND 20.3.
New York Jets -4.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 43.0 (Matchbook)
Indianapolis Colts 28, New York Jets 27 — Indianapolis Colts win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.