Sunday, October 27, 2024 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans New York Jets primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is NYJ by 5.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Jets (1 edges vs 0 for New England Patriots).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports NYJ by about 5.4 points of margin. The market spread feature is +7.5.
New England Patriots +7.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 41.0 (Matchbook)
New York Jets 22, New England Patriots 25 — New England Patriots win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.