Sunday, October 13, 2024 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model sees this as a true toss-up between Los Angeles Chargers and Denver Broncos. The projected margin is LAC by 0.4 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports LAC by about 2.9 points of margin. The market spread feature is +2.5.
Form pulls the other way and favors DEN by about 1.7 points of margin. Points scored per game: DEN 20.0, LAC 16.2.
Denver Broncos +3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 37.0 (Matchbook)
Los Angeles Chargers 23, Denver Broncos 16 — Los Angeles Chargers win
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.