Sunday, September 22, 2024 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans New Orleans Saints primarily because of advantages in Form. The projected margin is NO by 2.5 points. That lean is driven mainly by form. Context pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Context pulls the other way and favors PHI by about 0.6 points of margin.
Form is a large contribution and supports NO by about 0.5 points of margin. Points scored per game: NO 32.5, PHI 22.8.
New Orleans Saints -2.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 49.0 (GTbets)
Philadelphia Eagles 15, New Orleans Saints 12 — Philadelphia Eagles win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.