Sunday, September 15, 2024 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Pittsburgh Steelers primarily because of advantages in Market line and Context. The projected margin is PIT by 1.7 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and context. Form pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Pittsburgh Steelers (2 edges vs 1 for Denver Broncos).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 3.2 points of margin. The market spread feature is +3.5.
Context is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 0.7 points of margin.
Form pulls the other way and favors DEN by about 0.6 points of margin. Points scored per game: DEN 19.7, PIT 19.1.
Denver Broncos +2.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 36.5 (Matchbook)
Pittsburgh Steelers 13, Denver Broncos 6 — Pittsburgh Steelers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.