Monday, September 9, 2024 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans San Francisco 49ers primarily because of advantages in Market line and Form. The projected margin is SF by 2.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form. Rest pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned San Francisco 49ers (2 edges vs 1 for New York Jets).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports SF by about 1.5 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.5.
Form is a large contribution and supports SF by about 1.0 points of margin. Points scored per game: SF 27.5, NYJ 16.4.
Rest pulls the other way and favors NYJ by about 1.0 points of margin. Days of rest: SF 7, NYJ 246.
San Francisco 49ers -3.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 43.0 (Pinnacle)
New York Jets 19, San Francisco 49ers 32 — San Francisco 49ers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.