Sunday, December 17, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Green Bay Packers primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is GB by 3.7 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Green Bay Packers (1 edges vs 0 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports GB by about 0.7 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.5.
Green Bay Packers -3.5 (Coolbet) | O/U 41.5 (Matchbook)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34, Green Bay Packers 20 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.