Sunday, December 10, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Detroit Lions primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is DET by 1.8 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Detroit Lions (1 edges vs 0 for Chicago Bears).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports DET by about 3.5 points of margin. The market spread feature is +3.5.
Chicago Bears +3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 44.5 (Pinnacle)
Detroit Lions 13, Chicago Bears 28 — Chicago Bears win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.