Sunday, December 10, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Dallas Cowboys primarily because of advantages in Form, Market line, and Rest. The projected margin is DAL by 5.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by form and market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Dallas Cowboys (3 edges vs 0 for Philadelphia Eagles).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form is a large contribution and supports DAL by about 1.9 points of margin. Points scored per game: DAL 34.0, PHI 27.5.
Market line is a large contribution and supports DAL by about 1.0 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.5.
Rest is a large contribution and supports DAL by about 0.8 points of margin. Days of rest: DAL 10, PHI 7.
Dallas Cowboys -3.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 52.5 (Matchbook)
Philadelphia Eagles 13, Dallas Cowboys 33 — Dallas Cowboys win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.