Thursday, December 7, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Pittsburgh Steelers primarily because of advantages in Market line and Form. The projected margin is PIT by 4.9 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Pittsburgh Steelers (2 edges vs 0 for New England Patriots).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 1.2 points of margin. The market spread feature is -5.5.
Form is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 0.9 points of margin. Points scored per game: PIT 15.9, NE 12.0.
Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 30.5 (Pinnacle)
New England Patriots 21, Pittsburgh Steelers 18 — New England Patriots win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.