Monday, December 4, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Jacksonville Jaguars primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is JAX by 8.8 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Jacksonville Jaguars (1 edges vs 0 for Cincinnati Bengals).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports JAX by about 5.4 points of margin. The market spread feature is -10.0.
Jacksonville Jaguars -10.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 41.0 (Pinnacle)
Cincinnati Bengals 34, Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Cincinnati Bengals win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.