Sunday, December 3, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Houston Texans primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is HOU by 3.7 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Houston Texans (1 edges vs 0 for Denver Broncos).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports HOU by about 1.1 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.5.
Houston Texans -3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 47.0 (Pinnacle)
Denver Broncos 17, Houston Texans 22 — Houston Texans win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.