Monday, November 27, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Minnesota Vikings primarily because of advantages in Market line and Form. The projected margin is MIN by 3.8 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Minnesota Vikings (2 edges vs 0 for Chicago Bears).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports MIN by about 1.4 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.5.
Form is a large contribution and supports MIN by about 0.4 points of margin. Points scored per game: MIN 23.9, CHI 20.3.
Minnesota Vikings -3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 43.5 (Matchbook)
Chicago Bears 12, Minnesota Vikings 10 — Chicago Bears win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.