Sunday, November 26, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model sees this as a true toss-up between Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans. The projected margin is HOU by 0.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by form. Market line pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line pulls the other way and favors JAX by about 2.0 points of margin. The market spread feature is +1.5.
Form is a large contribution and supports HOU by about 0.7 points of margin.
Houston Texans +1.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 48.0 (Coolbet)
Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Houston Texans 21 — Jacksonville Jaguars win
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.