Sunday, November 12, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model sees this as a true toss-up between New Orleans Saints and Minnesota Vikings. The projected scores are about even. That lean is driven mainly by market line and market blend. Form pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New Orleans Saints (2 edges vs 1 for Minnesota Vikings).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports NO by about 2.2 points of margin. The market spread feature is +2.5.
Form pulls the other way and favors MIN by about 1.0 points of margin. Points scored per game: MIN 24.1, NO 22.0.
Market blend is a large contribution and supports NO by about 0.4 points of margin. The published margin is blended 15% toward the market line (-2.5 points).
Minnesota Vikings +3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 40.5 (Matchbook)
New Orleans Saints 19, Minnesota Vikings 27 — Minnesota Vikings win
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.