Sunday, November 12, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model sees this as a true toss-up between New York Jets and Las Vegas Raiders. The projected margin is LV by 0.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by form. Market line pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line pulls the other way and favors NYJ by about 1.6 points of margin. The market spread feature is +1.5.
Form is a large contribution and supports LV by about 0.7 points of margin. Points scored per game: LV 19.3, NYJ 15.1.
Las Vegas Raiders +1.0 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 35.5 (Matchbook)
New York Jets 12, Las Vegas Raiders 16 — Las Vegas Raiders win
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.