Sunday, October 22, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Washington Commanders primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is WSH by 1.7 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Washington Commanders (1 edges vs 0 for New York Giants).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports WSH by about 2.5 points of margin. The market spread feature is +3.5.
New York Giants +3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 37.0 (Coolbet)
Washington Commanders 7, New York Giants 14 — New York Giants win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.