Sunday, October 8, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Buffalo Bills primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is BUF by 4.0 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Buffalo Bills (1 edges vs 0 for Jacksonville Jaguars).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports BUF by about 1.8 points of margin. The market spread feature is -5.5.
Buffalo Bills -5.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 48.5 (Matchbook)
Jacksonville Jaguars 25, Buffalo Bills 20 — Jacksonville Jaguars win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.