Sunday, October 8, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans San Francisco 49ers primarily because of advantages in Form and Market line. The projected margin is SF by 5.1 points. That lean is driven mainly by form and market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned San Francisco 49ers (2 edges vs 0 for Dallas Cowboys).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form is a large contribution and supports SF by about 2.4 points of margin. Points scored per game: SF 29.0, DAL 28.4.
Market line is a large contribution and supports SF by about 1.7 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.5.
San Francisco 49ers -3.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 45.0 (Matchbook)
Dallas Cowboys 10, San Francisco 49ers 42 — San Francisco 49ers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.