Sunday, September 17, 2023 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans New York Giants primarily because of advantages in Market line, Form, and Context. The projected margin is NYG by 4.4 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New York Giants (3 edges vs 0 for Arizona Cardinals).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports NYG by about 4.1 points of margin. The market spread feature is +4.5.
Form is a large contribution and supports NYG by about 1.1 points of margin. Points scored per game: ARI 17.7, NYG 17.9.
Context is a large contribution and supports NYG by about 0.6 points of margin.
Arizona Cardinals +4.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 39.5 (Matchbook)
New York Giants 31, Arizona Cardinals 28 — New York Giants win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.