Sunday, January 3, 2021 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Tennessee Titans primarily because of advantages in Market line and Form. The projected margin is TEN by 5.0 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form. Context pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Tennessee Titans (2 edges vs 1 for Houston Texans).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports TEN by about 5.6 points of margin. The market spread feature is +7.0.
Context pulls the other way and favors HOU by about 0.9 points of margin.
Form is a large contribution and supports TEN by about 0.5 points of margin. Points scored per game: HOU 23.1, TEN 30.0.
Houston Texans +7.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 55.5 (LowVig.ag)
Tennessee Titans 41, Houston Texans 38 — Tennessee Titans win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.