Sunday, January 3, 2021 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model sees this as a true toss-up between Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants. The projected margin is NYG by 0.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by context. Form and Market line pull the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Dallas Cowboys (2 edges vs 1 for New York Giants).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Context is a large contribution and supports NYG by about 0.9 points of margin.
Form pulls the other way and favors DAL by about 0.7 points of margin. Points scored per game: NYG 16.2, DAL 27.0.
Market line pulls the other way and favors DAL by about 0.7 points of margin. The market spread feature is +1.5.
New York Giants +1.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 43.5 (LowVig.ag)
Dallas Cowboys 19, New York Giants 23 — New York Giants win
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.