Sunday, January 3, 2021 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Los Angeles Rams primarily because of advantages in Form and Context. The projected margin is LAR by 3.6 points. That lean is driven mainly by form and context. Market blend pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Rams (2 edges vs 1 for Arizona Cardinals).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form is a large contribution and supports LAR by about 1.1 points of margin.
Context is a large contribution and supports LAR by about 0.7 points of margin.
Market blend pulls the other way and favors ARI by about 0.5 points of margin. The published margin is blended 15% toward the market line (+1.0 points).
Los Angeles Rams -1.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 41.0 (Pinnacle)
Arizona Cardinals 7, Los Angeles Rams 18 — Los Angeles Rams win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.