Sunday, December 27, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Pittsburgh Steelers primarily because of advantages in Context. The projected margin is PIT by 2.0 points. That lean is driven mainly by context. Market line pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Context is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 0.6 points of margin.
Market line pulls the other way and favors IND by about 0.4 points of margin.
Pittsburgh Steelers +1.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 42.5 (Bookmaker)
Indianapolis Colts 24, Pittsburgh Steelers 28 — Pittsburgh Steelers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.