Sunday, December 27, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Los Angeles Chargers primarily because of advantages in Context. The projected margin is LAC by 2.0 points. That lean is driven mainly by context. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Context is a large contribution and supports LAC by about 0.8 points of margin.
Form pulls the other way and favors DEN by about 0.7 points of margin.
Los Angeles Chargers -2.0 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 47.5 (Matchbook)
Denver Broncos 16, Los Angeles Chargers 19 — Los Angeles Chargers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.