Sunday, December 20, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Los Angeles Rams primarily because of advantages in Market line, Market blend, and Form. The projected margin is LAR by 13.9 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and market blend.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Rams (3 edges vs 0 for New York Jets).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports LAR by about 8.8 points of margin. The market spread feature is -17.0.
Market blend is a large contribution and supports LAR by about 0.5 points of margin. The published margin is blended 15% toward the market line (+17.0 points).
Form is a large contribution and supports LAR by about 0.4 points of margin. Points scored per game: LAR 25.3, NYJ 14.7.
Los Angeles Rams -17.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 44.5 (LowVig.ag)
New York Jets 23, Los Angeles Rams 20 — New York Jets win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.