Sunday, December 20, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Baltimore Ravens primarily because of advantages in Market line, Form, and Context. The projected margin is BAL by 12.1 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Baltimore Ravens (3 edges vs 0 for Jacksonville Jaguars).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports BAL by about 7.4 points of margin. The market spread feature is -12.5.
Form is a large contribution and supports BAL by about 0.9 points of margin. Points scored per game: BAL 28.8, JAX 18.7.
Context is a large contribution and supports BAL by about 0.6 points of margin.
Baltimore Ravens -12.5 (Bovada) | O/U 49.0 (Matchbook)
Jacksonville Jaguars 14, Baltimore Ravens 40 — Baltimore Ravens win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.