Sunday, December 13, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model sees this as a true toss-up between Atlanta Falcons and Los Angeles Chargers. The projected margin is LAC by 0.4 points. That lean is driven mainly by context. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form pulls the other way and favors ATL by about 1.1 points of margin. Points scored per game: LAC 21.2, ATL 25.5.
Context is a large contribution and supports LAC by about 0.4 points of margin.
Los Angeles Chargers -1.0 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 49.0 (Matchbook)
Atlanta Falcons 17, Los Angeles Chargers 20 — Los Angeles Chargers win
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.