Sunday, December 13, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans San Francisco 49ers primarily because of advantages in Market line and Context. The projected margin is SF by 2.2 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and context. Form pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned San Francisco 49ers (2 edges vs 1 for Washington Commanders).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form pulls the other way and favors WSH by about 1.0 points of margin.
Market line is a large contribution and supports SF by about 0.6 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.0.
Context is a large contribution and supports SF by about 0.4 points of margin.
San Francisco 49ers -3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 43.5 (LowVig.ag)
Washington Commanders 23, San Francisco 49ers 15 — Washington Commanders win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.