Sunday, December 6, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans New Orleans Saints primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is NO by 1.1 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New Orleans Saints (1 edges vs 0 for Atlanta Falcons).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports NO by about 2.3 points of margin. The market spread feature is +2.5.
Atlanta Falcons +2.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 46.0 (Matchbook)
New Orleans Saints 21, Atlanta Falcons 16 — New Orleans Saints win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.