Sunday, December 6, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Chicago Bears primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is CHI by 2.5 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports CHI by about 0.9 points of margin. The market spread feature is -3.0.
Form pulls the other way and favors DET by about 0.5 points of margin. Points scored per game: CHI 18.8, DET 21.0.
Chicago Bears -3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 44.0 (LowVig.ag)
Detroit Lions 34, Chicago Bears 30 — Detroit Lions win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.