Sunday, November 29, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans New Orleans Saints primarily because of advantages in Market line, Form, and Market blend. The projected margin is NO by 11.4 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned New Orleans Saints (3 edges vs 0 for Denver Broncos).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports NO by about 9.2 points of margin. The market spread feature is +17.0.
Form is a large contribution and supports NO by about 1.2 points of margin. Points scored per game: DEN 20.3, NO 29.4.
Market blend is a large contribution and supports NO by about 1.0 points of margin. The published margin is blended 15% toward the market line (-17.0 points).
Denver Broncos +17.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 36.5 (Unibet)
New Orleans Saints 31, Denver Broncos 3 — New Orleans Saints win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.