Sunday, November 29, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Buffalo Bills primarily because of advantages in Market line. The projected margin is BUF by 3.8 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports BUF by about 1.7 points of margin. The market spread feature is -4.5.
Form pulls the other way and favors LAC by about 0.7 points of margin. Points scored per game: BUF 26.0, LAC 26.4.
Buffalo Bills -4.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 51.0 (Matchbook)
Los Angeles Chargers 17, Buffalo Bills 27 — Buffalo Bills win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.