Sunday, November 22, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model sees this as a true toss-up between New England Patriots and Houston Texans. The projected margin is NE by 0.5 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line. Form pulls the other way.
Tracked inputs were split fairly evenly between the two sides.
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports NE by about 2.3 points of margin. The market spread feature is +2.5.
Form pulls the other way and favors HOU by about 0.5 points of margin. Points scored per game: HOU 22.1, NE 21.2.
Houston Texans +2.5 (Matchbook) | O/U 49.5 (Pinnacle)
New England Patriots 20, Houston Texans 27 — Houston Texans win
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.