Sunday, November 8, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Pittsburgh Steelers primarily because of advantages in Market line, Form, and Market blend. The projected margin is PIT by 9.9 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Pittsburgh Steelers (3 edges vs 0 for Dallas Cowboys).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 8.0 points of margin. The market spread feature is +14.0.
Form is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 0.8 points of margin. Points scored per game: DAL 21.8, PIT 25.9.
Market blend is a large contribution and supports PIT by about 0.7 points of margin. The published margin is blended 15% toward the market line (-14.0 points).
Dallas Cowboys +14.0 (Pinnacle) | O/U 44.0 (Matchbook)
Pittsburgh Steelers 24, Dallas Cowboys 19 — Pittsburgh Steelers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.