Sunday, November 1, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Philadelphia Eagles primarily because of advantages in Market line and Market blend. The projected margin is PHI by 7.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and market blend. Form pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Philadelphia Eagles (2 edges vs 1 for Dallas Cowboys).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports PHI by about 5.8 points of margin. The market spread feature is -10.0.
Form pulls the other way and favors DAL by about 1.6 points of margin. Points scored per game: PHI 23.5, DAL 24.1.
Market blend is a large contribution and supports PHI by about 0.5 points of margin. The published margin is blended 15% toward the market line (+10.0 points).
Philadelphia Eagles -10.0 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 43.0 (Matchbook)
Dallas Cowboys 9, Philadelphia Eagles 23 — Philadelphia Eagles win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.