Sunday, October 25, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Dallas Cowboys primarily because of advantages in Form and Market line. The projected margin is DAL by 1.6 points. That lean is driven mainly by form and market line.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Dallas Cowboys (2 edges vs 0 for Washington Commanders).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form is a large contribution and supports DAL by about 1.8 points of margin. Points scored per game: WSH 18.1, DAL 28.0.
Market line is a large contribution and supports DAL by about 0.9 points of margin. The market spread feature is +1.0.
Washington Commanders -1.0 (LowVig.ag) | O/U 44.5 (Matchbook)
Dallas Cowboys 3, Washington Commanders 25 — Washington Commanders win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.