Monday, October 19, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Arizona Cardinals primarily because of advantages in Form and Market line. The projected margin is ARI by 1.5 points. That lean is driven mainly by form and market line. Market blend pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Arizona Cardinals (2 edges vs 1 for Dallas Cowboys).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Form is a large contribution and supports ARI by about 1.9 points of margin.
Market line is a large contribution and supports ARI by about 1.1 points of margin.
Market blend pulls the other way and favors DAL by about 0.4 points of margin. The published margin is blended 15% toward the market line (+1.0 points).
Dallas Cowboys -1.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 55.5 (Matchbook)
Arizona Cardinals 38, Dallas Cowboys 10 — Arizona Cardinals win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.