← All NFL picks for Sunday, September 27, 2020

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, September 27, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick

Our model leans Tennessee Titans
moderate lean

The model leans Tennessee Titans primarily because of advantages in Market line, Form, and Context. The projected margin is TEN by 2.8 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.

On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Tennessee Titans (3 edges vs 0 for Minnesota Vikings).

The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.

Matchup Breakdown

Market line — leans Tennessee Titans

Market line is a large contribution and supports TEN by about 3.0 points of margin. The market spread feature is +2.5.

Form — leans Tennessee Titans

Form is a large contribution and supports TEN by about 0.5 points of margin. Points scored per game: MIN 22.0, TEN 26.4.

Context — leans Tennessee Titans

Context is a large contribution and supports TEN by about 0.5 points of margin.

Betting Lines

Minnesota Vikings +2.5 (BetRivers) | O/U 49.5 (Matchbook)

Final Score

Tennessee Titans 31, Minnesota Vikings 30 — Tennessee Titans win — Model pick was correct

This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.