Sunday, September 20, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Tennessee Titans primarily because of advantages in Market line and Form. The projected margin is TEN by 6.3 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form. Context pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Tennessee Titans (2 edges vs 1 for Jacksonville Jaguars).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports TEN by about 3.5 points of margin. The market spread feature is -7.0.
Form is a large contribution and supports TEN by about 0.8 points of margin. Points scored per game: TEN 25.2, JAX 20.5.
Context pulls the other way and favors JAX by about 0.7 points of margin.
Tennessee Titans -7.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 44.5 (Matchbook)
Jacksonville Jaguars 30, Tennessee Titans 33 — Tennessee Titans win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.