Sunday, September 13, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Las Vegas Raiders primarily because of advantages in Market line and Form. The projected margin is LV by 2.9 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form. Rest pulls the other way.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Las Vegas Raiders (2 edges vs 1 for Carolina Panthers).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports LV by about 3.3 points of margin. The market spread feature is +3.0.
Form is a large contribution and supports LV by about 1.9 points of margin. Points scored per game: CAR 17.9, LV 22.7.
Rest pulls the other way and favors CAR by about 1.4 points of margin. Days of rest: CAR 258, LV 7.
Carolina Panthers +3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 48.0 (LowVig.ag)
Las Vegas Raiders 34, Carolina Panthers 30 — Las Vegas Raiders win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.