Sunday, September 13, 2020 — NFL Prediction & Pick
The model leans Los Angeles Chargers primarily because of advantages in Market line, Form, and Context. The projected margin is LAC by 2.6 points. That lean is driven mainly by market line and form.
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Chargers (3 edges vs 0 for Cincinnati Bengals).
The model's lean lines up with that edge count. The score model and the raw stat comparison point the same way.
Market line is a large contribution and supports LAC by about 2.3 points of margin. The market spread feature is +2.5.
Form is a large contribution and supports LAC by about 0.8 points of margin. Points scored per game: CIN 20.7, LAC 21.2.
Context is a large contribution and supports LAC by about 0.7 points of margin.
Cincinnati Bengals +3.0 (Matchbook) | O/U 41.0 (BetRivers)
Los Angeles Chargers 16, Cincinnati Bengals 13 — Los Angeles Chargers win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a statistical model and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.