← All picks for September 24, 2026
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
September 24, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans Los Angeles Dodgers
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned Los Angeles Dodgers (17 edges vs 5 for San Diego Padres).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.750 vs San Diego Padres 0.750 — roughly even
- Los Angeles Dodgers 2.40 vs San Diego Padres 1.15 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 5.50 vs San Diego Padres 5.35 — roughly even
- Los Angeles Dodgers 3.10 vs San Diego Padres 4.20 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 vs San Diego Padres 0.667 — roughly even
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 vs San Diego Padres 0.748 — roughly even
Season to date — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 4.96 vs San Diego Padres 4.40 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 3.72 vs San Diego Padres 4.16 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.846 vs San Diego Padres 0.636 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 108.6 vs San Diego Padres 94.5 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans San Diego Padres
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 2.48 vs San Diego Padres 4.57 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.83 vs San Diego Padres 1.25 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 11.30 vs San Diego Padres 12.05 — leans San Diego Padres
- Los Angeles Dodgers 2.69 vs San Diego Padres 6.72 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 6.23 vs San Diego Padres 3.07 — leans San Diego Padres
- Los Angeles Dodgers 1.31 vs San Diego Padres 1.09 — leans San Diego Padres
- Los Angeles Dodgers 5.06 vs San Diego Padres 2.59 — leans San Diego Padres
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0 vs San Diego Padres 0 — roughly even
Offense & matchup — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.401 vs San Diego Padres 0.374 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.467 vs San Diego Padres 0.473 — roughly even
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.400 vs San Diego Padres 0.276 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.335 vs San Diego Padres 0.399 — leans San Diego Padres
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.426 vs San Diego Padres 0.385 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.543 vs San Diego Padres 0.436 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.788 vs San Diego Padres 0.516 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.026 vs San Diego Padres 0.011 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Series & head-to-head — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Los Angeles Dodgers 0.667 vs San Diego Padres 0.333 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
- Los Angeles Dodgers 1.75 vs San Diego Padres -1.75 — leans Los Angeles Dodgers
Betting Lines
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | O/U 7.5 (FanDuel)
Final Score
San Diego Padres 4, Los Angeles Dodgers 2 — San Diego Padres win — Model pick was incorrect
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Please gamble responsibly.