← All picks for September 16, 2026
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
September 16, 2026 — MLB Prediction & Betting Pick
Our model leans San Diego Padres
On balance, more tracked inputs leaned San Diego Padres (16 edges vs 8 for Colorado Rockies).
The model's lean aligns with the overall edge count. Both the machine-learning model and the raw feature comparison point the same direction for this game.
Matchup Breakdown
Recent form (last ~10 games) — leans San Diego Padres
Looking at recent performance trends over the last ten games — including win rate, run differential, and offensive momentum — the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Colorado Rockies 0.300 vs San Diego Padres 0.550 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies -0.90 vs San Diego Padres 0.05 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 4.60 vs San Diego Padres 4.30 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 5.50 vs San Diego Padres 4.25 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.333 vs San Diego Padres 0.667 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 1.232 vs San Diego Padres 1.318 — roughly even
Season to date — leans Colorado Rockies
Season-long stats including runs scored and allowed per game, home/road splits, and weighted offensive production (wRC+) the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies 4.65 vs San Diego Padres 4.30 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 5.73 vs San Diego Padres 4.19 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.500 vs San Diego Padres 0.455 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 98.3 vs San Diego Padres 94.5 — leans Colorado Rockies
Starting pitching (recent starts) — leans San Diego Padres
Evaluating the probable starters based on recent ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate, and pitching form trends, the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Colorado Rockies 4.25 vs San Diego Padres 2.79 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 1.28 vs San Diego Padres 1.07 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 8.60 vs San Diego Padres 9 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs San Diego Padres -1.52 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 5.71 vs San Diego Padres 3.07 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 1.79 vs San Diego Padres 1.09 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 4.25 vs San Diego Padres 2.59 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0 vs San Diego Padres 0 — roughly even
Offense & matchup — leans Colorado Rockies
Analyzing recent offensive output (OBP, SLG) and platoon matchup data against the opposing starter's throwing arm, the matchup favors the Colorado Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies 0.390 vs San Diego Padres 0.374 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.484 vs San Diego Padres 0.473 — roughly even
- Colorado Rockies 0.409 vs San Diego Padres 0.276 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.542 vs San Diego Padres 0.399 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.374 vs San Diego Padres 0.385 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies 0.468 vs San Diego Padres 0.436 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies 0.916 vs San Diego Padres 0.516 — leans Colorado Rockies
- Colorado Rockies -0.016 vs San Diego Padres 0.011 — leans San Diego Padres
Series & head-to-head — leans San Diego Padres
Prior head-to-head meetings this season's training window — win rate and run differential between these clubs — the matchup favors the San Diego Padres.
- Colorado Rockies 0.182 vs San Diego Padres 0.818 — leans San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies -1.09 vs San Diego Padres 1.09 — leans San Diego Padres
Betting Lines
San Diego Padres +1.5 | O/U 10.5 (Fanatics)
Final Score
San Diego Padres 9, Colorado Rockies 3 — San Diego Padres win — Model pick was correct
This analysis is generated by a machine-learning model and is intended for
informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute financial
or betting advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
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